Publicado el 02-06-2012
The Importance of the
Fall of the Syrian Regime
The United States of America will have to make important decisions about the Near and Middle East in a matter of weeks, perhaps days.
This Monday, the U.S. government has withdrawn all its personnel from its embassy in Damascus, suspending operations. This is not a break in relations. Israel’s Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu will arrive in Washington soon to meet with president Obama possibly to discuss the Iranian threat and the possibility that in a year it might have at least one nuclear bomb. There has been talk in international circles about a possible preemptive attack from Israel against Iran’s nuclear installations. This is a dangerous solution for the problem as no one knows what the Iranian reply could be in case the Israeli attempt were to fail. On the other hand, President Obama has mentioned that the Syrian situation should be solved diplomatically. However, a proposal from the Arab League seemed to collapse over the weekend at the United Nations when Russia and China vetoed a Security Council Resolution to endorse it.
In an interesting article by Charles Krauthammer published on Sunday, February 5th in the Washington Post and other national newspapers, the renowned commentator makes a careful analysis about the importance that the fall of the Bashar al Assad’s regime in Syria would have for the Western world and also for the Near and Middle East. Iran’s alliance with Syria has been key for the Iranians to expand its influence arming and directing Hezbollah that now is the dominant power in Lebanon and giving the Persians their first outpost in the Mediterranean in more than 2,000 years.
The Arab League is pressuring Assad to leave power because there is a sectarian divide between the Arabs and Iran. Krauthammer writes, “The Arabs are overwhelmingly Sunni, Iran is Shiite. The Arab states fear Shiite Iran infiltrating the Sunni homeland through Hezbollah in Lebanon, and through Syria, run by Assad’s Alawites, a heterodox offshoot of Shiism.”
The fall of the Syrian regime, which has perpetrated and continues to perpetrate on a daily basis violations against the human rights of its people that are in a state of rebellion, would be a significant first step to pacify the region, perhaps opening a door for diplomatic efforts with Iran when this regime loses an important ally in the region, something that also could lead to a significant weakening of Hezbollah once it has not Syrian support nor Iranian weapons.
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